Last Post Review at 15th May 2016

I am now back in Australia and with Brian’s help (from Just Data) Metastock is back to normal!

This will be my last posting in this format.  We have profited from sales of stocks by just short of $10,000, which in percentage terms is almost a 50% return in four months.  I am quite satisfied with that return.  I am now shifting my focus to look at developing a robust system (that my wife can operate) which operates with only stock from the ASX100.  I will be very interested to see what percentage returns can be achieved.

 

So to round off, there are three sections to this review

  1. A chart of Nett gain of ALL CLOSED transactions from Jan 1st 2016.
  2. A spreadsheet of ALL CLOSED transactions from Jan 1st 2016 organised in date order.
  3. A spreadsheet of all stocks currently held with purchase price and date.  This spreadsheet fluctuates as prices rise or fall.

The following chart is essentially PROFIT against time. 

The gain graph is calculated on the basis that each stock bought has $1,000 invested in it.  With a maximum of twenty stocks, this is effectively a total capital of $20,000.  There has been no reinvestment of profits.  Note that the graph does not include some unrealised profits in stocks currently held.  This may be just as well, as KCN will probably take a beating tomorrow morning!

Pro Rev May 15th Chartt

Stocks currently held.

Pro Rev May 15th Holding

Spreadsheet of ALL closed transactions

Pro Rev May 15th Exits1

Pro Rev May 15th Exits2

Pro Rev May 15th Exits3

Pro Rev May 15th Exits4

 

 

End UA-71791995-1

It is important to realise that I am NOT an investment adviser, and the above are only my thoughts of the Company.  You need to take into account other personal factors before making any investment decisions.

IMPORTANT NOTICE

I am travelling overseas at the moment, and my copy of Metastock has developed a “glitch”, it is telling me that  “The user file is damaged”.

This means I cannot access any of my charts!  I therefore cannot post any EXIT messages.  Be warned!

I expect to be back in Australia sometime next week, and there are computer backup copies at base, so that should solve the problem (I hope!)

PHK EXIT

I entered  PHK  on 31st March at a price of $0.048,  EMA3 has crossed below EMA8which is one of our exit signals.

PHK  Exit

EXIT RULES:

  • Exit when ADX(18) turns down. In strong trends (when ADX(18) >DI+ & DI-) this may bring an early exit, so the re-entry becomes important
  • Exit if EMA3 crosses below EMA8 (even if ADX(18) has not turned down).
  • Exit if Twiggs Money Flow Indicator is persistently below the Signal Line 

 

 

I will enter tomorrows opening as the price that goes into the Exit spreadsheet.

End UA-71791995-1

It is important to realise that I am NOT an investment adviser, and the above are only my thoughts of the Company.  You need to take into account other personal factors before making any investment decisions.

SSM & MNW EXITS

SSM – I entered SSM on April 4th at $0.695.  EMA3 has crossed below EMA8 so I will exit.  Even though, ADX(18) has not turned down,

SSM Exit

MNW – I entered MNW on April 13th, but with the recent pullback in price the ADX(18) has turned down, so I will exit.

MNW  EXIT

 

EXIT RULES:

  • Exit when ADX(18) turns down. In strong trends (when ADX(18) >DI+ & DI-) this may bring an early exit, so the re-entry becomes important
  • Exit if EMA3 crosses below EMA8 (even if ADX(18) has not turned down).
  • Exit if Twiggs Money Flow Indicator is persistently below the Signal Line

 

 I will enter tomorrows opening as the price that goes into the Exit spreadsheet.

End UA-71791995-1

It is important to realise that I am NOT an investment adviser, and the above are only my thoughts of the Company.  You need to take into account other personal factors before making any investment decisions.

EML EXIT

ADX(18) of EML has turned down, we will exit at opening tomorrow.  The daily chart is shown below

EML Exit

 

EXIT RULES:

  • Exit when ADX(18) turns down. In strong trends (when ADX(18) >DI+ & DI-) this may bring an early exit, so the re-entry becomes important
  • Exit if EMA3 crosses below EMA8 (even if ADX(18) has not turned down).
  • Exit if Twiggs Money Flow Indicator is persistently below the Signal Line

 

 I will enter tomorrows opening as the price that goes into the Exit spreadsheet.

End UA-71791995-1

It is important to realise that I am NOT an investment adviser, and the above are only my thoughts of the Company.  You need to take into account other personal factors before making any investment decisions.

NOTICE

I will be travelling for a couple of weeks, so it is unlikely that I will be adding to the portfolio for the next two weeks.  I will however still post any EXITS that occur.

I will NOT be doing a Progress Review next weekend.

But I will be back, as I want to see our exits spreadsheet reach $10,000 by June 30th.

good trading

John

SYA EXIT

We entered SYA on 26th April at $0.059.  Fridays close was $0.043.

The ADX(18) has not turned down but if you look inside the red ellipse on the chart below, you will see EMA3 (the red line has crossed below EMA8 (the blue line) which is one of our exit rules.  The reason for this exit rule, is because  we only want shares in our portfolio that are going UP.  If EMA3 is below EMA8 they are going DOWN!

SYA Exit

EXIT RULES:

  • Exit when ADX(18) turns down. In strong trends (when ADX(18) >DI+ & DI-) this may bring an early exit, so the re-entry becomes important
  • Exit if EMA3 crosses below EMA8 (even if ADX(18) has not turned down).
  • Exit if Twiggs Money Flow Indicator is persistently below the Signal Line

 

  1.  

 

I will enter tomorrows opening as the price that goes into the Exit spreadsheet.

 

End UA-71791995-1

It is important to realise that I am NOT an investment adviser, and the above are only my thoughts of the Company.  You need to take into account other personal factors before making any investment decisions.

Progress Review at Close 29th April 2016

There are three sections to this review

  1. A chart of Nett gain of ALL CLOSED transactions from Jan 1st 2016.
  2. A spreadsheet of ALL CLOSED transactions from Jan 1st 2016 organised in date order.
  3. A spreadsheet of all stocks currently held with purchase price and date.  This spreadsheet fluctuates as prices rise or fall.

The following chart is essentially PROFIT against time. 

The gain graph is calculated on the basis that each stock bought has $1,000 invested in it.  With a maximum of twenty stocks, this is effectively a total capital of $20,000.  There has been no reinvestment of profits.  Note that although the gain from Closed Transactions  increased substantially this week,  there was a decrease in those stocks currently held (because there were sales.

Prog Review 29 April graph

Exits Spreadsheet – This lists all transactions since January 1st 2016

Prog Review 29 April Exits1

Prog Review 29 April Exits2

Prog Review 29 April Exits3

Prog Review 29 April Exits4

Holding Spreadsheet – A list of all stocks currently HELD by the BLOG

Prog Review 29 April Holding

 

 

End UA-71791995-1

It is important to realise that I am NOT an investment adviser, and the above are only my thoughts of the Company.  You need to take into account other personal factors before making any investment decisions.

 

Mobile Embrace Limited (ASX: MBE)

MBE shift to mobile

Weekly chart

MBE  Weekly

Daily Chart

 MBE Daily

I will enter tomorrows opening as the price that goes into the Holding spreadsheet.

As of April 5th, I will deduct $20 as a “brokerage fee” from each transaction.

ENTRY RULES:

A If already trending

  1. ADX(18) rising is > 16 and PDI+ > MDI-
  2. If ADX is > PDI+, then ADX does not have to be rising; Buy on EMA3> EMA8> EMA13
  3. ADX(18) 16 or greater, but less than 25; I may break this rule for stocks that are in a VERY strong climb eg. LNG in May & June 2014 (EMA3 stayed firmly above EMA8!)
  1. B. If it is a reversal situation
  1. ADX(18) rising and is > 16; PDI+ > MDI-.
  2. Has broken above EMA50, and pulled back. Buy as it starts to strengthen after pullback.
  3. Has broken downward sloping trendline
  1. Reentry
  1. C >EMA3 > 8 >13 > EMA50 AND
  2. When RSI(3) > 70
  3. ADX(18) horizontal or rising

EXIT RULES:

  • Exit when ADX(18) turns down. In strong trends (when ADX(18) >DI+ & DI-) this may bring an early exit, so the re-entry becomes important
  • Exit if EMA3 crosses below EMA8 (even if ADX(18) has not turned down).
  • Exit if Twiggs Money Flow Indicator is persistently below the Signal Line

 

 

I will enter tomorrows opening as the price that goes into the Exit spreadsheet.

 

End UA-71791995-1

It is important to realise that I am NOT an investment adviser, and the above are only my thoughts of the Company.  You need to take into account other personal factors before making any investment decisions.

TZ Limited (ASX: TZL)

TZL About

Weekly chart

TZL  Weekly

Daily Chart

 TZL Daily

I will enter tomorrows opening as the price that goes into the Holding spreadsheet.

As of April 5th, I will deduct $20 as a “brokerage fee” from each transaction.

ENTRY RULES:

A If already trending

  1. ADX(18) rising is > 16 and PDI+ > MDI-
  2. If ADX is > PDI+, then ADX does not have to be rising; Buy on EMA3> EMA8> EMA13
  3. ADX(18) 16 or greater, but less than 25; I may break this rule for stocks that are in a VERY strong climb eg. LNG in May & June 2014 (EMA3 stayed firmly above EMA8!)
  1. B. If it is a reversal situation
  1. ADX(18) rising and is > 16; PDI+ > MDI-.
  2. Has broken above EMA50, and pulled back. Buy as it starts to strengthen after pullback.
  3. Has broken downward sloping trendline
  1. Reentry
  1. C >EMA3 > 8 >13 > EMA50 AND
  2. When RSI(3) > 70
  3. ADX(18) horizontal or rising

EXIT RULES:

  • Exit when ADX(18) turns down. In strong trends (when ADX(18) >DI+ & DI-) this may bring an early exit, so the re-entry becomes important
  • Exit if EMA3 crosses below EMA8 (even if ADX(18) has not turned down).
  • Exit if Twiggs Money Flow Indicator is persistently below the Signal Line

 

 

I will enter tomorrows opening as the price that goes into the Exit spreadsheet.

 

End UA-71791995-1

It is important to realise that I am NOT an investment adviser, and the above are only my thoughts of the Company.  You need to take into account other personal factors before making any investment decisions.